Big ambitions.
What would it take?
Eight national targets. The evidence behind them. Explore the gap between the starting point and the ambition, and the assumptions that change the reading.
By M. V. Kaela, independent researcher and developer
Dated snapshot: · Not affiliated with, commissioned by or endorsed by the government.
2031Our assumed end year. The speech gives no target year; every pace on this site assumes the end of 2031 and says so.
A path through the evidence
How far is each target?
See all eight targets, the pace they need and the draft readiness of each baseline.
Open the target board ChallengeWhat changes the reading?
Change the year, comparator and band cut-off. See which readings hold and which move.
Explore the assumptions TraceWhere does a figure come from?
Find a source by title, publisher or code. Check its date and whether a research agent opened it.
Search the sourcesExplore the mechanisms
Area × yield
Move the two levers behind a harvest. Explore the combinations that reach the target.
Open the explorerBuild up the copper
Toggle named projects, timing and output ranges. See how much of the target remains unnamed.
Open the explorerPower beyond capacity
Explore why installed megawatts and available electricity are different things.
Open the explorerProjects, capital and the household return.
Shared inputs, cited company announcements and the questions a costed delivery plan would need to answer. No national investment total is established here; the By the numbers page runs a contributed cost scenario as working numbers.